Countries › Dominican Republic › Guide › 2. Macro and country context › Dominican Republic economy at a glance: growth, prices, rates, the peso and the banks
Dominican Republic economy at a glance: growth, prices, rates, the peso and the banks
Last verified: 2026-10-30 · Status: Changing
The Dominican Republic is a US$127.9 billion economy (2025) of about 10.9 million people, led by services, construction, tourism and free zone exports. Growth slowed to 2.1 percent in 2025 and recovered to 4.6 percent in January to September 2026, with the Banco Central projecting about 4.5 percent for the year. Inflation was 5.12 percent in the year to September 2026, above the 4 percent plus or minus 1 target, and the policy rate rose to 5.50 percent on 30 September 2026. The peso floats freely and strengthened 5.4 percent in the first nine months of 2026.
USD figures use the Banco Central de la República Dominicana reference selling rate of RD$60.9007 per US dollar for 29 October 2026, the latest row in its published rate file on the verification date. Conversions are for orientation only. Official US dollar figures published by the Banco Central or the budget are shown as published.
Key facts
| Nominal GDP 2025 | 127861.4 USD millionBanco Central, PIB en dólares referencia 2018, as of 2025-12-31 · in force |
|---|---|
| Nominal GDP 2025 | 7897551.3 DOP millionBanco Central, PIB en dólares referencia 2018, as of 2025-12-31 · in force |
| GDP per person 2025 | 11753.84 USDBanco Central, PIB en dólares referencia 2018, as of 2025-12-31 · in force |
| Real GDP growth 2025 | 2.1 %Banco Central, PIB trimestral base 2018, as of 2025-12-31 · in force |
| Real GDP growth, second quarter 2026 on a year earlier | 5.0 %Informe de la economía dominicana enero a junio 2026, as of 2026-06-30 · in force |
| IMAE growth January to September 2026 | 4.6 %Banco Central, IMAE, as of 2026-09-30 · in force |
| Official growth projection for 2026 | 4.5 %Banco Central projection, as of 2026-10-23 · pending |
| Consumer prices, 12 months to September 2026 | 5.12 %Informe IPC septiembre 2026, as of 2026-09-30 · in force |
| Core inflation, 12 months to September 2026 | 4.61 %Informe IPC septiembre 2026, as of 2026-09-30 · in force |
| Inflation target, centre | 4.0 %Programa Monetario, as of 2026-09-30 · in force |
| Inflation target tolerance | plus or minus 1.0 percentage pointsPrograma Monetario, as of 2026-09-30 · in force |
| Monetary policy rate (TPM) | 5.5 %Comunicado de política monetaria de septiembre de 2026, as of 2026-09-30 · in force |
| Banco Central reference selling rate | 60.9007 DOP per USDLey 183-02 art. 28, as of 2026-10-29 · in force |
| Weighted average lending rate | 13.6 %Informe de la economía dominicana enero a junio 2026, as of 2026-06-30 · in force |
| Weighted average deposit rate | 7.34 %Informe de la economía dominicana enero a junio 2026, as of 2026-06-30 · in force |
| Nonperforming loans of financial entities | 1.5 %Banco Central, governor report, as of 2026-09-30 · in force |
| Regulatory solvency of financial entities | 18.9 %Banco Central, governor report citing Superintendencia de Bancos, as of 2026-05-31 · in force |
| Population estimate 2025 used in the national accounts | 10878267 peopleBanco Central, PIB en dólares referencia 2018, as of 2025-12-31 · in force |
The rule
Example: RD$7,897,551.3 million divided by 10,878,267 people is about RD$725,994 a person. / US$127,861.4 million, or US$11,753.84 a person.Ley 183-02 Monetaria y Financiera; Banco Central, PIB en dólares referencia 2018, art. 15, 2002-11-21 official text · verified 2026-10-30
Example: A lease of RD$100,000 a month indexed to 12 month inflation to September 2026 rises to RD$105,120. / About US$1,642 rising to about US$1,726 a month.Banco Central, Informe IPC septiembre 2026, Informe mensual, 2026-09-30 official text · verified 2026-10-30
Example: RD$1,000,000 at the selling rate. / About US$16,420.17.Ley 183-02 Monetaria y Financiera, art. 28, 2002-11-21 official text · verified 2026-10-30
| Activity | Share of 2025 nominal GDP (%) | IMAE growth Jan to Sep 2026 (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Services, total | 61.8 | 4.6 |
| Construction | 12.5 | 8.2 |
| Commerce | 11.8 | 2.3 |
| Local manufacturing | 9.2 | 3.4 |
| Hotels, bars and restaurants | 8.3 | 5.6 |
| Real estate and rentals | 7.5 | 3.8 |
| Transport and storage | 7.4 | 5.0 |
| Farming | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| Financial services | 4.3 | 7.8 |
| Free zone manufacturing | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Mining and quarrying | 1.9 | 5.2 |
Real GDP growth and structure. Sources: Banco Central, PIB trimestral base 2018 and PIB por origen base 2018 (2025 preliminary).
| Indicator | Latest | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth | 2.1% | 2025 |
| IMAE growth | 4.6% | Jan to Sep 2026 |
| CPI, 12 months | 5.12% | Sep 2026 |
| Core CPI, 12 months | 4.61% | Sep 2026 |
| Policy rate | 5.50% | 30 Sep 2026 |
| Reference rate, sell | RD$60.9007 | 29 Oct 2026 |
| Gross reserves | US$15,239.9 million | Sep 2026 |
| Open unemployment | 5.3% | Q2 2026 |
Headline indicators on the verification date. Sources as listed in the rules.
Worked example
- Real cost of peso funding. RD$100,000,000 (about US$1.6 million) at the 5.50 percent policy rate costs RD$5,500,000 a year (about US$90,311) before any bank spread. Against 5.12 percent inflation that is a real rate of about 0.36 percent (1.055 divided by 1.0512, minus 1). At the 13.60 percent average lending rate of June 2026 the same loan costs RD$13,600,000 (about US$223,314), or about 8 percent in real terms.
- Sizing a budget in dollars. A plan of RD$50,000,000 a year is about US$821,009 at RD$60.9007 and about US$798,722 at the RD$62.60 average assumed in the 2027 budget, a difference of about US$22,287.
Step by step
- 1. Pull the Banco Central's rate file and the latest monetary policy communiqué on the day you price a deal (Ley 183-02 art. 28; meetings are monthly).
- 2. Use the IMAE for the current read on activity, then confirm with the quarterly GDP release (published in the Informe de la economía dominicana).
- 3. Use the budget's Cuadro 5 for official forward assumptions on growth, inflation, the exchange rate and oil, and label them as projections.
- 4. Set peso contracts' indexation clauses on the official CPI and state the base month.
- 5. Check the reform tracker for tax, fiscal and labor changes before locking a multi year model.
Common traps
- Treating 2.1 percent as trend. 2025 was weak and the first half of 2026 is measured against that low base; the budget's potential estimate is 5 percent.
- Mixing GDP denominators. The Banco Central's debt file uses 2026 GDP of US$140,737.2 million, the August panorama uses US$145,026.7 million and the quarterly debt report used US$132,209.6 million. The same dollar amount gives different ratios.
- Reading the cover page of the June economic report. Its summary box shows March figures for reserves, FDI and remittances (US$16,143.1 million, US$1,671.9 million and US$3,019.7 million). The text gives the June figures: reserves US$15,821.6 million and FDI US$3,275.1 million.
- Assuming a 5.25 percent policy rate. Press through August 2026 shows it; the Banco Central's rate file shows 5.50 percent from October 2026.
- Using the buy rate when you need the sell rate. The gap was RD$0.4851 on 29 October 2026, or about 0.8 percent.
Sources
- Ley 183-02 Monetaria y Financiera (Superintendencia de Bancos)
- Banco Central, PIB en dólares referencia 2018
- Banco Central, PIB trimestral base 2018
- Banco Central, PIB por origen base 2018
- Banco Central, IMAE base 2018
- Banco Central, Informe de la economía dominicana enero a junio 2026
- Banco Central, governor's report of 23 October 2026
- Banco Central, graphic support for the governor's report
- Banco Central, Informe IPC septiembre 2026
- Banco Central, nota sobre el IPC de septiembre 2026
- Banco Central, comunicado de política monetaria de septiembre 2026
- Banco Central, serie de tasa de política monetaria
- Banco Central, tasa de referencia del dólar
- Banco Central, nota sobre el Informe de Estabilidad Financiera
- Proyecto de Ley de Presupuesto General del Estado 2027 (DIGEPRES)
- Presupuesto Ciudadano 2027, proyecto de ley (DIGEPRES)
Related pages
- macro/central-bank-and-monetary-policy
- macro/public-finances-budget-and-debt
- macro/external-sector-trade-fdi-and-remittances
- fx/fx-market-and-exchange-rate
- start/minimum-wage-social-security-caps-and-exchange-rate
- start/reform-tracker
- /country/dominican-republic/
- /calendar/
- Live dashboard
- https://theargentinethread.com/guide/
Related: Dominican Republic country profile · live dashboard · central bank and release calendar · our posts on X
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